France is priced at a bit below even odds to win, reflecting a competitive but uncertain prospect among the field. The odds rose notably (+7 pts) in the past day, suggesting increased confidence or recent developments have shifted market sentiment upward. At this level, the market is treating France as a plausible contender but not a favorite.
TomorrowOdds
EVENT PROBABILITIES, AGGREGATED
The perfect read on tomorrow.
What the world thinks will happen, in numbers — 326 live questions read straight from real-money prediction markets, each with its real price history. Odds are information, never advice.
Biggest movers · last 24h
Polymarket- Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?33%▲ +31 pt$93K vol
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?98%▲ +28 pt$71K vol
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?48%▼ -21 pt$275K vol
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?73%▼ -20 pt$98K vol
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?84%▲ +18 pt$519K vol
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?57%▲ +16 pt$134K vol
Closing soon
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?98%▲ +28 ptcloses 2026-07-11
- Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?56%▼ -4 ptcloses 2026-07-12
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?75%▲ +1 ptcloses 2026-07-13
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?11%▲ +5 ptcloses 2026-07-13
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?5%▲ +3 ptcloses 2026-07-13
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?49%▲ +1 ptcloses 2026-07-15
Explore every topic
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Browse by topic →326 questions
- Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?33%▲ +31 pt$93K
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?98%▲ +28 pt$71K
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?48%▼ -21 pt$275K
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?73%▼ -20 pt$98K
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?84%▲ +18 pt$519K
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?57%▲ +16 pt$134K
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?67%▲ +14 pt$1.1M
- Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?17%▲ +13 pt$198K
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?88%▲ +10 pt$158K
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?53%▲ +9 pt$1.2M
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?45%▲ +9 pt$173K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?49%▲ +8 pt$854K
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?72%▲ +8 pt$366K
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?39%▲ +7 pt$108.7M
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?38%▲ +7 pt$1.9M
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?32%▼ -7 pt$297K
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?28%▼ -7 pt$251K
- Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7%▼ -7 pt$74K
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?91%▲ +6 pt$567K
- Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?27%▲ +6 pt$566K
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?79%▼ -6 pt$165K
- Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?12%▲ +6 pt$165K
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?28%▼ -5 pt$3.5M
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?83%▲ +5 pt$1.3M
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?89%▲ +5 pt$943K
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?6%▼ -5 pt$646K
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?11%▲ +5 pt$126K
- Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?66%▲ +5 pt$108K
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?93%▼ -5 pt$88K
- Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?78%▲ +5 pt$88K
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?77%▲ +5 pt$79K
- Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?22%▼ -5 pt$78K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?82%▼ -4 pt$12.9M
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?16%▲ +4 pt$1.1M
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?10%▼ -4 pt$1.0M
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?19%▼ -4 pt$813K
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?56%▲ +4 pt$372K
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?23%▼ -4 pt$334K
- Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?56%▼ -4 pt$279K
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?88%▲ +4 pt$211K
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?9%▲ +4 pt$182K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?77%▼ -4 pt$157K
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?80%▲ +4 pt$144K
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?89%▲ +4 pt$108K
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?82%▲ +4 pt$92K
- Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?95%▲ +4 pt$72K
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?60%▲ +4 pt$71K
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?44%▲ +3 pt$2.8M
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?36%▲ +3 pt$416K
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?64%▼ -3 pt$352K
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?94%▲ +3 pt$264K
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?82%▼ -3 pt$182K
- Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?8%▼ -3 pt$171K
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?48%▲ +3 pt$165K
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?29%▲ +3 pt$131K
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?52%▼ -3 pt$97K
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?26%▼ -3 pt$94K
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?5%▲ +3 pt$87K
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?18%▲ +3 pt$83K
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?6%▲ +2 pt$2.8M
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?10%▼ -2 pt$1.3M
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?66%▼ -2 pt$1.3M
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?45%▼ -2 pt$346K
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?19%▼ -2 pt$312K
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?14%▲ +2 pt$259K
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?45%▼ -2 pt$244K
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?61%▼ -2 pt$199K
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?44%▲ +2 pt$192K
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?28%▲ +2 pt$192K
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?67%▼ -2 pt$180K
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?38%▼ -2 pt$140K
- Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?41%▲ +2 pt$124K
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?50%▲ +2 pt$112K
- Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?11%▲ +2 pt$110K
- Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?25%▼ -2 pt$105K
- Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?25%▼ -2 pt$83K
- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?50%▼ -2 pt$83K
- Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?27%▼ -2 pt$78K
- Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?2%▼ -2 pt$68K
- Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?3%▼ -2 pt$66K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17%▲ +1 pt$40.3M
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?19%▲ +1 pt$26.4M
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?8%▼ -1 pt$21.5M
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?8%▲ +1 pt$10.4M
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?61%▼ -1 pt$7.3M
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?78%▼ -1 pt$5.9M
- Fed rate hike in 2026?52%▼ -1 pt$3.7M
- Iran leadership change by December 31?17%▲ +1 pt$3.2M
- AI bubble burst in 2026?14%▼ -1 pt$2.3M
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?11%▼ -1 pt$2.0M
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?41%▲ +1 pt$2.0M
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?14%▲ +1 pt$2.0M
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?53%▲ +1 pt$1.5M
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?27%▲ +1 pt$1.4M
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?40%▲ +1 pt$1.2M
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?4%▼ -1 pt$773K
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?67%▲ +1 pt$769K
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?52%▲ +1 pt$682K
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95%▼ -1 pt$627K
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?64%▲ +1 pt$614K
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?18%▲ +1 pt$564K
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?75%▲ +1 pt$526K
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?88%▲ +1 pt$509K
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?22%▼ -1 pt$424K
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?4%▼ -1 pt$420K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?56%▼ -1 pt$418K
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?80%▲ +1 pt$414K
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?60%▼ -1 pt$363K
- World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?5%▼ -1 pt$312K
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?10%▲ +1 pt$310K
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?10%▲ +1 pt$305K
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?10%▼ -1 pt$293K
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV8113%▼ -1 pt$279K
- Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?69%▼ -1 pt$274K
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?26%▼ -1 pt$265K
- Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?64%▼ -1 pt$238K
- Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?3%▼ -1 pt$232K
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?96%▼ -1 pt$230K
- Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?3%▼ -1 pt$226K
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?22%▲ +1 pt$221K
- Will Belgium win the World Cup?2%▼ -1 pt$220K
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?89%▼ -1 pt$217K
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?98%▲ +1 pt$200K
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?8%▼ -1 pt$192K
- Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?23%▼ -1 pt$184K
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?9%▼ -1 pt$182K
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?55%▲ +1 pt$177K
- Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?66%▼ -1 pt$170K
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?7%▼ -1 pt$167K
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?25%▼ -1 pt$166K
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?22%▼ -1 pt$163K
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?63%▲ +1 pt$159K
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?80%▼ -1 pt$155K
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?16%▲ +1 pt$146K
- Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?3%▼ -1 pt$143K
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?17%▲ +1 pt$138K
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62%▲ +1 pt$135K
- Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?9%▼ -1 pt$135K
- Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?40%▲ +1 pt$131K
- Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?7%▲ +1 pt$129K
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?50%▲ +1 pt$119K
- Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?9%▼ -1 pt$113K
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?49%▲ +1 pt$111K
- Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?24%▲ +1 pt$103K
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?38%▲ +1 pt$101K
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?94%▲ +1 pt$100K
- Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?23%▲ +1 pt$98K
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?97%▲ +1 pt$96K
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?92%▲ +1 pt$92K
- Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?81%▼ -1 pt$88K
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?73%▼ -1 pt$86K
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?21%▲ +1 pt$83K
- Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?57%▼ -1 pt$79K
- Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?19%▼ -1 pt$76K
- Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?4%▲ +1 pt$74K
- Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?12%▲ +1 pt$72K
- Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?84%▲ +1 pt$72K
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?21%▲ +1 pt$71K
- Record crypto liquidation in 2026?8%▲ +1 pt$70K
- Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?30%▲ +1 pt$70K
- Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?29%▲ +1 pt$67K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%— 0 pt$38.3M
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4%— 0 pt$34.7M
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$16.9M
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?2%— 0 pt$16.5M
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%— 0 pt$14.6M
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?41%— 0 pt$14.4M
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?4%— 0 pt$11.6M
- Trump out as President before 2027?8%— 0 pt$9.8M
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?55%— 0 pt$5.6M
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?84%— 0 pt$4.5M
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?6%— 0 pt$4.4M
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?13%— 0 pt$3.1M
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?83%— 0 pt$3.0M
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?4%— 0 pt$2.6M
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?10%— 0 pt$2.6M
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?22%— 0 pt$2.4M
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?21%— 0 pt$2.4M
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House44%— 0 pt$2.1M
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?79%— 0 pt$2.1M
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?12%— 0 pt$2.0M
- Human moon landing in 2026?3%— 0 pt$2.0M
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?6%— 0 pt$1.9M
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?12%— 0 pt$1.8M
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?11%— 0 pt$1.8M
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?12%— 0 pt$1.7M
- US recession by end of 2026?10%— 0 pt$1.7M
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?94%— 0 pt$1.7M
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?5%— 0 pt$1.4M
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?5%— 0 pt$1.4M
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?54%— 0 pt$1.4M
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?23%— 0 pt$1.3M
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?5%— 0 pt$1.3M
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?3%— 0 pt$1.2M
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?5%— 0 pt$1.2M
- Iran Nuke before 2027?6%— 0 pt$1.1M
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?2%— 0 pt$1.1M
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt$1.0M
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?3%— 0 pt$1.0M
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?3%— 0 pt$962K
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?93%— 0 pt$927K
- New pandemic in 2026?6%— 0 pt$887K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?2%— 0 pt$883K
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?7%— 0 pt$861K
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?12%— 0 pt$851K
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?59%— 0 pt$833K
- Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?2%— 0 pt$798K
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?2%— 0 pt$778K
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?61%— 0 pt$661K
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?3%— 0 pt$644K
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?10%— 0 pt$641K
- Will Andy Pages lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?5%— 0 pt$635K
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt$634K
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?22%— 0 pt$630K
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?3%— 0 pt$612K
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?8%— 0 pt$586K
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?12%— 0 pt$576K
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?9%— 0 pt$565K
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?4%— 0 pt$557K
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?5%— 0 pt$544K
- Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay13%— 0 pt$541K
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?2%— 0 pt$537K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?38%— 0 pt$526K
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?2%— 0 pt$495K
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?16%— 0 pt$495K
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?91%— 0 pt$491K
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$472K
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?21%— 0 pt$470K
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?92%— 0 pt$457K
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?74%— 0 pt$431K
- Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?2%— 0 pt$415K
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?73%— 0 pt$393K
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?94%— 0 pt$386K
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?3%— 0 pt$372K
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?4%— 0 pt$369K
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?10%— 0 pt$368K
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?24%— 0 pt$353K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?10%— 0 pt$351K
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?10%— 0 pt$336K
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 202617%— 0 pt$336K
- StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?19%— 0 pt$333K
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?9%— 0 pt$326K
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?57%— 0 pt$321K
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?12%— 0 pt$321K
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?71%— 0 pt$318K
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?4%— 0 pt$313K
- Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?2%— 0 pt$268K
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?9%— 0 pt$267K
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?19%— 0 pt$258K
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?14%— 0 pt$257K
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?80%— 0 pt$254K
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?88%— 0 pt$251K
- Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?3%— 0 pt$246K
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?27%— 0 pt$245K
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?87%— 0 pt$240K
- Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?48%— 0 pt$235K
- Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?3%— 0 pt$234K
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt$229K
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?27%— 0 pt$228K
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?17%— 0 pt$225K
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?5%— 0 pt$221K
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$221K
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?47%— 0 pt$214K
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?24%— 0 pt$210K
- Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3%— 0 pt$209K
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?3%— 0 pt$199K
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?22%— 0 pt$199K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?96%— 0 pt$196K
- Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?2%— 0 pt$193K
- Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?5%— 0 pt$192K
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt$187K
- Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?18%— 0 pt$179K
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?80%— 0 pt$177K
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?6%— 0 pt$162K
- Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?2%— 0 pt$162K
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?3%— 0 pt$161K
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?6%— 0 pt$161K
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?23%— 0 pt$155K
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?96%— 0 pt$153K
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?91%— 0 pt$151K
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?96%— 0 pt$151K
- Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?60%— 0 pt$149K
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?72%— 0 pt$142K
- Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2%— 0 pt$141K
- Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?94%— 0 pt$137K
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?21%— 0 pt$134K
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?11%— 0 pt$130K
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?6%— 0 pt$128K
- Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?2%— 0 pt$124K
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?7%— 0 pt$120K
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?13%— 0 pt$120K
- Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?2%— 0 pt$117K
- Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?2%— 0 pt$116K
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?19%— 0 pt$114K
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?31%— 0 pt$113K
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?21%— 0 pt$112K
- Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?8%— 0 pt$112K
- Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?7%— 0 pt$112K
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?27%— 0 pt$111K
- Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?57%— 0 pt$110K
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?75%— 0 pt$108K
- Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?3%— 0 pt$104K
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?85%— 0 pt$103K
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?48%— 0 pt$102K
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?21%— 0 pt$100K
- Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?2%— 0 pt$99K
- Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?2%— 0 pt$94K
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?50%— 0 pt$91K
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8%— 0 pt$90K
- Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?4%— 0 pt$90K
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?11%— 0 pt$88K
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?8%— 0 pt$84K
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?3%— 0 pt$82K
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?49%— 0 pt$81K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?2%— 0 pt$80K
- Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?2%— 0 pt$79K
- Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?82%— 0 pt$79K
- Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?2%— 0 pt$79K
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?97%— 0 pt$76K
- Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?17%— 0 pt$74K
- Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?36%— 0 pt$73K
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?25%— 0 pt$72K
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?69%— 0 pt$71K
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?43%— 0 pt$71K
- Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$69K
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?55%— 0 pt$67K
