EVENT PROBABILITIES, AGGREGATED

The perfect read on tomorrow.

What the world thinks will happen, in numbers — 37 live questions read straight from real-money prediction markets. Odds are information, never advice.

Polymarket (public Gamma API) · as of 2026-07-06

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Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33%▼ -2 ptPolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?12%▼ -1 ptPolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%— 0 ptPolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?19%▼ -1 ptPolymarket

Biggest movers · last 24h

Polymarket
  1. Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?74%▲ +9 pt$1.1M vol
  2. Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?54%▲ +4 pt$313K vol
  3. OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?22%▲ +4 pt$292K vol
  4. OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?72%▼ -3 pt$1.0M vol
  5. Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?69%▲ +3 pt$897K vol
  6. Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33%▼ -2 pt$96.4M vol

Closing soon

  1. Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33%▼ -2 ptcloses 2026-07-20
  2. Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?9%▼ -1 ptcloses 2026-07-20
  3. World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?4%▼ -1 ptcloses 2026-07-20
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