Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices this outcome with a remote chance at 2%, suggesting traders see it as highly unlikely that Lawrence moves to Pittsburgh by Week 1 of the 2026-27 season. The odds have remained unchanged over 24 hours, though they have shifted up slightly by 1 point over the past week, indicating modest recent interest but broad consensus on the low probability.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Dexter Lawrence is rostered by the Pittsburgh Steelers on Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season (by September 14, 2026). It resolves No if he is on a different NFL team, cut, retired, or not on any NFL roster by that date.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $79K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-15 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Official NFL transactions or trades involving Lawrence would be the primary settlement trigger; any announcement of a move to Pittsburgh would resolve the market immediately.
- As the deadline approaches in mid-September 2026, the narrow window left for roster moves could constrain how far odds drift before final resolution.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.