Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices this outcome at a remote chance, with odds unchanged over the past day but down 4 percentage points over the week. At this level, the market is treating a season-long runs title for this player as a low-probability outcome relative to the field of all other MLB hitters.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Gunnar Henderson records more runs than any other player during the 2026 MLB regular season by 2026-09-28. In case of a tie, the official MLB leader is used; if that remains tied, the player with the higher on-base percentage wins.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -4 pt |
| Market volume | $798K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-28 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- The 2026 regular season itself will determine actual run totals — Henderson's plate appearance rate, team offensive context, and injury status over the full season will be the primary drivers.
- The resolution relies on official MLB season statistics and tiebreaker rules; no interim announcement or decision is expected before the 2026-09-28 close date.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
