Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
Otto Lopez is priced at a remote chance of leading MLB in triples for 2026. The odds have remained unchanged over the past day and risen slightly over the past week, suggesting modest but sustained skepticism about his chances relative to the broader field of MLB hitters. At this level, the market is pricing him as a long-shot contender.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Otto Lopez hits more triples than any other MLB player during the 2026 regular season, or resolves No otherwise. Ties are broken by official MLB ruling, then by highest batting average in 2026 if needed. The market settles by September 28, 2026.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $268K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-28 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Performance and injury status during the 2026 season will directly shape whether Lopez accumulates enough triples to compete for the league lead.
- Changes in playing time or team composition early in 2026 could shift expectations; with the season not yet underway, odds may adjust substantially once games begin.
- Thin trading volume relative to the full season ahead means late-arriving information could move odds, though the September 28 deadline ultimately constraints how far shifts can go.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.