THE BOARD · ELECTIONS

Elections

79 live questions in elections, read from Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs). Sort and filter below — every figure is what real-money traders currently imply.

79questions
47%average odds
$125.0Mtotal volume

BIGGEST MOVER (24H)

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
95%▲ +73 pt

Polymarket price history · as of 2026-07-07

79 questions

  1. Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?95%▲ +73 pt$85K
  2. Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?53%▼ -22 pt$184K
  3. Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?29%▲ +21 pt$1.2M
  4. Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?46%▲ +11 pt$152K
  5. Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?76%▼ -9 pt$146K
  6. Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?70%▲ +7 pt$129K
  7. Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?51%▲ +6 pt$179K
  8. Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82%▲ +5 pt$151K
  9. Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?24%▼ -5 pt$130K
  10. Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?58%▼ -4 pt$560K
  11. Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?18%▼ -4 pt$101K
  12. Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?53%▼ -3 pt$5.5M
  13. Trump declares election interference national emergency?29%▲ +3 pt$163K
  14. Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?11%▼ -3 pt$84K
  15. Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?86%▲ +2 pt$230K
  16. Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?26%▼ -2 pt$104K
  17. Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?84%▲ +2 pt$79K
  18. Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?95%▲ +2 pt$78K
  19. Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?18%▼ -1 pt$26.4M
  20. Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?41%▲ +1 pt$14.3M
  21. Trump out as President before 2027?7%▲ +1 pt$9.8M
  22. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?11%▲ +1 pt$2.6M
  23. Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?94%▲ +1 pt$1.6M
  24. Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?55%▲ +1 pt$1.4M
  25. Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?97%▲ +1 pt$610K
  26. Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?21%▼ -1 pt$470K
  27. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?10%▼ -1 pt$350K
  28. Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?57%▲ +1 pt$314K
  29. President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?91%▼ -1 pt$229K
  30. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?7%▼ -1 pt$181K
  31. Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?61%▲ +1 pt$174K
  32. Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?85%▲ +1 pt$165K
  33. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?6%▲ +1 pt$162K
  34. Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?16%▲ +1 pt$145K
  35. Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?93%▲ +1 pt$127K
  36. Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?9%▼ -1 pt$112K
  37. Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?96%▼ -1 pt$95K
  38. Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?4%▲ +1 pt$89K
  39. Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?82%▲ +1 pt$88K
  40. Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?68%▲ +1 pt$70K
  41. Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?57%▲ +1 pt$68K
  42. Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?10%— 0 pt$16.2M
  43. Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20%— 0 pt$14.5M
  44. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?62%— 0 pt$7.2M
  45. Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?84%— 0 pt$4.5M
  46. Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?33%— 0 pt$3.5M
  47. 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House44%— 0 pt$2.1M
  48. Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?39%— 0 pt$1.2M
  49. Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?3%— 0 pt$961K
  50. Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?59%— 0 pt$831K
  51. Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?59%— 0 pt$641K
  52. Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?2%— 0 pt$557K
  53. Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?2%— 0 pt$495K
  54. Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?98%— 0 pt$255K
  55. Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?88%— 0 pt$250K
  56. Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?97%— 0 pt$229K
  57. Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$220K
  58. Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?94%— 0 pt$190K
  59. Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?2%— 0 pt$162K
  60. Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?5%— 0 pt$160K
  61. Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?24%— 0 pt$155K
  62. Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?96%— 0 pt$148K
  63. Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?9%— 0 pt$128K
  64. Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?11%— 0 pt$126K
  65. Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?7%— 0 pt$113K
  66. Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?74%— 0 pt$107K
  67. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?3%— 0 pt$104K
  68. Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?2%— 0 pt$94K
  69. Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?98%— 0 pt$85K
  70. Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?73%— 0 pt$85K
  71. Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?3%— 0 pt$82K
  72. Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?49%— 0 pt$81K
  73. Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?2%— 0 pt$79K
  74. Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?83%— 0 pt$78K
  75. Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?50%— 0 pt$76K
  76. Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?97%— 0 pt$75K
  77. Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42%— 0 pt$71K
  78. Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?28%— 0 pt$69K
  79. Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?90%— 0 pt$69K

Source: Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs) · as of 2026-07-07. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.