Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
8%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market is pricing this at single-digit, unlikely odds, implying a low perceived chance of Perez's departure within the timeframe. The market is unchanged in the past 24 hours, though it has drifted down slightly by 1 percentage point over the past week, suggesting modest erosion in the probability traders assign to an early exit. At this level, the market is treating such an outcome as a rare event.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Florentino Perez ceases to be Real Madrid president for any length of time by December 31, 2026, or if his resignation or firing is announced before that date. Otherwise it resolves No on January 1, 2027.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 8% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $112K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- An official announcement of resignation or firing would immediately settle the market to Yes, regardless of effective date.
- With about a year remaining until the deadline, material shifts in Real Madrid governance or Perez's stated intentions could move odds either direction.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
