THE BOARD · CLIMATE

Climate

4 live questions in climate, read from Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs). Sort and filter below — every figure is what real-money traders currently imply.

4questions
46%average odds
$966Ktotal volume

BIGGEST MOVER (24H)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
64%▼ -3 pt

Polymarket price history · as of 2026-07-07

4 questions

  1. Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?64%▼ -3 pt$351K
  2. Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?28%▼ -1 pt$334K
  3. Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?77%▲ +1 pt$143K
  4. Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?16%— 0 pt$138K

Source: Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs) · as of 2026-07-07. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.