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THE BOARD · CULTURE

Culture

41 live questions in culture, read from Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs). Sort and filter below — every figure is what real-money traders currently imply.

WHERE THINGS STAND

The culture board spans sports, gaming, and entertainment across 41 questions, with an average probability of about a quarter. The 2026 FIFA World Cup dominates trading volume: Europe is strongly favoured at around four-in-five odds, France is favoured to reach the final and has risen notably, while France winning outright and Kylian Mbappé topping the scoring chart both sit a bit below even and have edged upward slightly. The Miami Marlins' ABS success-rate question rose sharply to about a third, while a remote-chance scenario—a goalkeeper scoring at the World Cup—remains essentially flat. These are implied probabilities from real-money markets.

41questions
26%average odds
$124.1Mtotal volume

BIGGEST MOVER (24H)

Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
33%▲ +31 pt

Polymarket price history · as of 2026-07-10

MOVING THIS WEEK

Rising ▲

  1. Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?33%▲ +31 pt
  2. Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?67%▲ +14 pt
  3. Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?45%▲ +9 pt
  4. Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?39%▲ +7 pt

Falling ▼

  1. Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7%▼ -7 pt
  2. Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?10%▼ -4 pt
  3. Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?3%▼ -2 pt
  4. World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?5%▼ -1 pt

41 questions

  1. Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?33%▲ +31 pt$93K
  2. Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?67%▲ +14 pt$1.1M
  3. Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?45%▲ +9 pt$173K
  4. Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?39%▲ +7 pt$108.7M
  5. Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7%▼ -7 pt$74K
  6. Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?27%▲ +6 pt$566K
  7. Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?12%▲ +6 pt$165K
  8. Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?83%▲ +5 pt$1.3M
  9. Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?10%▼ -4 pt$1.0M
  10. Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?95%▲ +4 pt$72K
  11. Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?60%▲ +4 pt$71K
  12. Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?44%▲ +3 pt$2.8M
  13. Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?41%▲ +2 pt$124K
  14. Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?3%▼ -2 pt$66K
  15. Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?75%▲ +1 pt$526K
  16. World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?5%▼ -1 pt$312K
  17. Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?3%▼ -1 pt$232K
  18. Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?3%▼ -1 pt$226K
  19. Will Belgium win the World Cup?2%▼ -1 pt$220K
  20. Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?3%▼ -1 pt$143K
  21. Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?9%▼ -1 pt$135K
  22. Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?84%▲ +1 pt$72K
  23. Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?2%— 0 pt$798K
  24. World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?2%— 0 pt$778K
  25. Will Andy Pages lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?5%— 0 pt$635K
  26. GTA 6 launch postponed again?9%— 0 pt$565K
  27. Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?16%— 0 pt$495K
  28. Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?2%— 0 pt$415K
  29. Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?73%— 0 pt$393K
  30. World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?94%— 0 pt$386K
  31. Will Otto Lopez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?2%— 0 pt$268K
  32. Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?3%— 0 pt$234K
  33. Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?2%— 0 pt$193K
  34. Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2%— 0 pt$141K
  35. Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?2%— 0 pt$117K
  36. Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?21%— 0 pt$112K
  37. Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?7%— 0 pt$112K
  38. Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?2%— 0 pt$99K
  39. Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?2%— 0 pt$79K
  40. Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?17%— 0 pt$74K
  41. Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?43%— 0 pt$71K

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Source: Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs) · as of 2026-07-10. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.