Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
75%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether an upcoming Spider-Man film will earn more worldwide box office revenue than any other movie released in 2026, which the current odds suggest is quite likely.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 75% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +2 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $386K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.