THE BOARD
Every question, by topic
37 live questions across 6 topics, read from Polymarket (public Gamma API). Each probability is what real-money traders currently imply — information, never advice.
Economy 6
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?2%▲ +1 pt
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?2%— 0 pt
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?6%— 0 pt
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?13%— 0 pt
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?8%— 0 pt
Geopolitics 8
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?12%▼ -1 pt
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%— 0 pt
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?2%— 0 pt
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?6%— 0 pt
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?3%— 0 pt
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?2%— 0 pt
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?2%▼ -1 pt
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?94%▼ -1 pt
Elections 4
AI & Tech 4
Science 8
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?2%— 0 pt
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?79%▲ +1 pt
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?31%— 0 pt
- Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?9%▲ +1 pt
- Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2%— 0 pt
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?14%— 0 pt
- Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?72%▲ +2 pt
- Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?47%— 0 pt
Culture 7
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?33%▼ -2 pt
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?74%▲ +9 pt
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?69%▲ +3 pt
- New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?51%— 0 pt
- Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?54%▲ +4 pt
- Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?9%▼ -1 pt
- World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?4%▼ -1 pt
Source: Polymarket (public Gamma API) · as of 2026-07-06. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.