THE BOARD · AI & TECH

AI & Tech

22 live questions in ai & tech, read from Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs). Sort and filter below — every figure is what real-money traders currently imply.

22questions
52%average odds
$9.0Mtotal volume

BIGGEST MOVER (24H)

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
79%▲ +16 pt

Polymarket price history · as of 2026-07-07

22 questions

  1. Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?79%▲ +16 pt$115K
  2. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?63%▼ -12 pt$156K
  3. Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?31%▼ -5 pt$112K
  4. Anthropic IPO before 2027?70%▼ -4 pt$359K
  5. Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?35%▲ +4 pt$296K
  6. AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?85%▼ -4 pt$108K
  7. GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?96%▲ +2 pt$121K
  8. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?23%▼ -2 pt$68K
  9. AI bubble burst in 2026?16%▲ +1 pt$2.3M
  10. Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?85%▼ -1 pt$476K
  11. Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?80%▲ +1 pt$410K
  12. OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?22%▼ -1 pt$292K
  13. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?83%▲ +1 pt$211K
  14. U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?20%▼ -1 pt$100K
  15. Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?22%— 0 pt$2.4M
  16. Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?21%— 0 pt$798K
  17. Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?96%— 0 pt$152K
  18. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?91%— 0 pt$150K
  19. OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?7%— 0 pt$112K
  20. Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?11%— 0 pt$88K
  21. OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?8%— 0 pt$84K
  22. Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?92%— 0 pt$81K

Source: Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs) · as of 2026-07-07. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.