THE BOARD · AI & TECH
AI & Tech
20 live questions in ai & tech, read from Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs). Sort and filter below — every figure is what real-money traders currently imply.
WHERE THINGS STAND
The AI & Tech board spans twenty questions with an average probability of roughly even odds across topics. The biggest mover is OpenAI's valuation hitting $900 billion by year-end, which fell sharply but remains strongly favoured at around four-in-five. High-volume questions show mixed sentiment: Anthropic's near-certain dominance of AI models by July 2026 and an around four-in-five likelihood it IPOs before 2027 (which rose notably) contrast with unlikely odds on an AI bubble bursting in 2026, OpenAI's near-term IPO, or a $1 trillion-plus OpenAI valuation at public listing—all in the teens and mostly down slightly. These implied probabilities reflect real-money market positioning and should be read as information only.
BIGGEST MOVER (24H)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?MOVING THIS WEEK
Rising ▲
Falling ▼
20 questions
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?73%▼ -20 pt$98K
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?72%▲ +8 pt$366K
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?32%▼ -7 pt$297K
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?91%▲ +6 pt$567K
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?19%▼ -4 pt$813K
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?89%▲ +4 pt$108K
- AI bubble burst in 2026?14%▼ -1 pt$2.3M
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?52%▲ +1 pt$682K
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?80%▲ +1 pt$414K
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?10%▼ -1 pt$293K
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?89%▼ -1 pt$217K
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?63%▲ +1 pt$159K
- Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?21%— 0 pt$2.4M
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?96%— 0 pt$153K
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?91%— 0 pt$151K
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?31%— 0 pt$113K
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?21%— 0 pt$100K
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?11%— 0 pt$88K
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?8%— 0 pt$84K
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?25%— 0 pt$72K
EXPLORE OTHER TOPICS
Source: Polymarket (public Gamma + CLOB APIs) · as of 2026-07-10. Odds are implied probabilities from prediction markets, shown as information — never advice.