Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
91%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
At an implied probability heavily favoured, near-certain, the market is pricing in a very high likelihood of Anthropic hitting this valuation threshold before the deadline. The probability has remained unchanged over the past week, suggesting stable conviction among traders that this outcome is probable rather than speculative.
How this market resolves
The market resolves Yes if Anthropic's private market valuation, as reported by Nasdaq Private Market (NPM), reaches or exceeds $1.25 trillion at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026. It resolves No otherwise.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 91% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $151K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- NPM price updates are the sole settlement mechanism — any official valuation report reaching or exceeding $1.25T before year-end 2026 would resolve the market immediately.
- Over two years remain until the deadline; substantial time for valuation shifts through funding rounds, market conditions, or company milestones to alter the odds.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
