Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
6%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether the Bitcoin creator will move any of their early holdings in 2026, which the current odds suggest is viewed as extremely unlikely.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 6% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -2 pt |
| Market volume | $4.3M |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.