GEOPOLITICS
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
This asks whether China's government will officially permit domestic Bitcoin trading by late 2026, which current odds suggest remains highly unlikely given the PRC's consistent crypto restrictions.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 3% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $1.0M |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.