Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
82%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The market suggests a strong likelihood that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its July 2026 meeting rather than raise or lower them.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 82% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -3 pt |
| 7d change | +2 pt |
| Market volume | $10.7M |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-29 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.