Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
21%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest markets see it as unlikely the Fed will lower rates by its December 2026 meeting, reflecting expectations for sustained higher interest rates.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 21% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $221K |
| Resolves by | 2026-06-17 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.