Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
84%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
Markets see high odds the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady through July, signaling traders expect inflation concerns have sufficiently cooled.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 84% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -3 pt |
| 7d change | +2 pt |
| Market volume | $111K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-29 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.