Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
81%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether NVIDIA will surpass other mega-cap firms like Microsoft or Apple to become the world's most valuable company by mid-2026, with current odds suggesting it's a favored outcome.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 81% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | -10 pt |
| Market volume | $714K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.