Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
36%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Circle's USDC stablecoin will capture half the market share of Tether's USDT by end-2026; current odds suggest meaningful but uncertain competition ahead.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 36% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -4 pt |
| 7d change | -10 pt |
| Market volume | $101K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.