Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
Markets see it as highly unlikely the Fed will cut rates by half a percentage point or more following its October 2026 meeting.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $80K |
| Resolves by | 2026-10-28 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.