Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
33%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The question asks whether California voters will approve a proposed one-time wealth tax on billionaires in 2026; current odds suggest skepticism but meaningful possibility.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 33% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $3.5M |
| Resolves by | 2026-11-03 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.