Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
55%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks which party will hold a Senate majority after next year's elections, with current odds slightly favoring Republicans.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 55% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | -3 pt |
| Market volume | $1.4M |
| Resolves by | 2026-11-03 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.