ELECTIONS
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
This asks whether the current vice president becomes the Republican nominee in 2028, with current odds suggesting meaningful but uncertain frontrunner status.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 38% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $14.3M |
| Resolves by | 2028-11-07 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.