Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
53%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether United Russia will remain Russia's largest parliamentary party after the 2026 elections, with current odds suggesting a close contest.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 53% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -3 pt |
| 7d change | -4 pt |
| Market volume | $5.5M |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.