Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
97%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Putin's dominant party will retain its parliamentary majority in the 2026 elections, with current odds reflecting its overwhelming historical control of Russian politics.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 97% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $610K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.