Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
97%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest the Social Democrats are heavily favored to remain Sweden's largest parliamentary party after the 2026 election.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 97% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $75K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-13 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.