Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest Lebanese Forces is considered a long-shot to secure the plurality of seats in Lebanon's 2026 parliamentary election despite being a major Christian party.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $162K |
| Resolves by | 2026-05-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.