Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Iran's current government will be overthrown or collapse by late September 2026; the current odds suggest such a fundamental political upheaval is viewed as quite unlikely in that timeframe.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -2 pt |
| Market volume | $167K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.