Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
3%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Iran will lose control of Kharg Island, its major oil export hub, by end of August 2026; the current odds suggest this outcome is considered extremely unlikely.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 3% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $502K |
| Resolves by | 2026-06-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.