Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
9%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Ukraine will announce a presidential election date by late August 2026, with current odds suggesting significant uncertainty about whether elections can proceed amid ongoing conflict.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 9% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +4 pt |
| Market volume | $128K |
| Resolves by | 2026-08-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.