Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
25%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest a one-in-four chance Iran will fully close its airspace for non-weather reasons by late August.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 25% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +7 pt |
| 7d change | -8 pt |
| Market volume | $170K |
| Resolves by | 2026-08-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.