Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
51%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Iran will officially begin charging vessels to pass through the Strait of Hormuz by month-end, currently seen as a near coin-flip proposition.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 51% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +4 pt |
| 7d change | +9 pt |
| Market volume | $166K |
| Resolves by | 2026-08-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.