Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
92%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market is heavily favoured, near-certain at 92% implied probability that the token's FDV will exceed $50M within a day of launch. This probability remained unchanged over 24 hours and has declined only marginally over the week, suggesting consistent market confidence in a high post-launch valuation despite the considerable time remaining until resolution.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Predict.fun's governance token has a fully diluted valuation above $50M one day after its public launch, determined by multiplying total token supply by token price. It resolves No otherwise, by January 1, 2028.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 92% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $457K |
| Resolves by | 2028-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Token launch timing and initial market conditions will directly determine the outcome; any announcement of launch plans or delays could shift odds.
- Thin precedent for similar governance tokens and market conditions between now and launch could alter expectations about initial FDV levels.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
