Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
4%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices this outcome at a remote chance, reflecting skepticism that a newly launched token will immediately reach a $50M+ valuation. The probability rose slightly over the past day, suggesting marginal shifts in trader sentiment, though the overall level remains very low and indicates most participants view such an early milestone as unlikely.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Hurupay's governance token has a fully diluted valuation (total token supply × token price) exceeding $50M exactly one day after its public launch. The token must be actively tradable on that date for the launch to count; resolution is by January 1, 2027.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 4% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $74K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Confirmation of an actual launch date and initial token supply would anchor the FDV calculation; without it, odds may remain volatile.
- Token price discovery in the first hours and day after launch would directly determine whether the threshold is crossed, making early trading activity the primary mover.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
