Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
11%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This market asks whether Probable's governance token will exceed a $50M fully diluted valuation within its first day of trading, with current odds suggesting skepticism about such an immediate valuation.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 11% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -4 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $83K |
| Resolves by | 2028-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.