US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
59%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether U.S. and Iranian officials will hold direct diplomatic talks by mid-2026, with recent Swiss negotiations suggesting moderate likelihood of continued engagement.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 59% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -14 pt |
| 7d change | -13 pt |
| Market volume | $655K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.