Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
22%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether at least one S&P 500 company will announce a Bitcoin purchase through year-end 2026, with current odds suggesting most forecasters expect this won't happen.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 22% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1 pt |
| 7d change | -2 pt |
| Market volume | $134K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.