Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
93%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Labour's incumbent Bev Craig will retain her Greater Manchester mayor position in the scheduled 2026 election, with current odds suggesting a heavily favored outcome.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 93% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $127K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.