AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
85%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether cutting-edge AI will solve at least 90% of a challenging math benchmark within three years, with current odds suggesting near-certain achievement.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 85% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -4 pt |
| 7d change | -4 pt |
| Market volume | $108K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.