Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market is pricing Song Yadong's chances at a remote chance, with odds unchanged over the past day and flat over the past week. At this level, the market is assigning a very low probability that he will hold the official title on that specific date, reflecting the competitive nature of the division and the time remaining.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Song Yadong is the official UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, and No otherwise. Interim champions do not count; if the belt is vacant at that time, the market resolves to Other.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $117K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Official UFC championship outcomes and title changes in the bantamweight division between now and year-end 2026 will directly determine the result.
- If the belt becomes vacant before the resolution date, the market rules specify it would resolve to Other rather than Yes or No.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
