Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices this outcome at a remote chance, reflecting the difficulty of any single player — let alone a specific one — leading all of baseball in batting average over a full season. The odds have risen 2 percentage points over the past week while remaining unchanged in the last 24 hours, suggesting modest upward pressure but no recent shift in sentiment. At this level, the market is pricing in both the talent required and the competition from dozens of qualified hitters.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Drake Baldwin finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest batting average among qualified players, as determined by MLB rules; it resolves by September 28, 2026. In case of a tie, MLB's official leader determination applies.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +2 pt |
| Market volume | $193K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-28 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Drake Baldwin's actual performance during spring training and early 2026 season play could trigger larger moves if he emerges as a contender.
- Late-season batting races among the league leaders may cause reallocation across competing candidates as the September 28 resolution date approaches.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
