Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
95%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
At a heavily favoured, near-certain level, the market is pricing in a high likelihood both that a wedding between Swift and Kelce takes place and that Antonoff attends it. The odds have risen slightly over the past day, suggesting modest recent confidence in the outcome, though the week showed a small net retreat, indicating some underlying uncertainty despite the dominant lean toward Yes.
How this market resolves
The market resolves Yes if photographic, video, or official statement evidence confirms Jack Antonoff attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding by December 31, 2026. If no such wedding occurs by that date, the market resolves No.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 95% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +4 pt |
| 7d change | -3 pt |
| Market volume | $72K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- An official announcement of a wedding date and guest list, or credible public statements from any of the named parties, would likely settle expectations either way.
- The resolution deadline is more than two years away, leaving substantial time for circumstances to shift; any major life-event reporting could move odds materially.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.