Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
79%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market currently prices this outcome as strongly favoured, around four-in-five, reflecting a substantial majority expectation that Akhannouch will leave office within the next two years. The odds fell notably over the past day, suggesting recent news or developments may have reduced conviction in an early departure, though the probability remains elevated.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco at any point before December 31, 2026, including via announcement of resignation or removal before that date. Otherwise it resolves No.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 79% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -6 pt |
| 7d change | -6 pt |
| Market volume | $165K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- An official announcement of resignation or removal would immediately settle the market to Yes, while continued tenure through year-end 2026 would resolve it to No.
- About two years remain until the deadline—enough time for political shifts, elections, or coalition changes in Morocco that could trigger or prevent a transition.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
