Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
96%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The Workers' Party is expected to formally nominate incumbent president Lula as its 2026 candidate before the August deadline, per current odds.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 96% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1 pt |
| 7d change | +2 pt |
| Market volume | $95K |
| Resolves by | 2026-08-15 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.