Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
25%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices Mike Lindell's chances at roughly one-in-four odds, reflecting a modest probability of victory in a contested primary. Odds fell slightly over the past day, suggesting minor recent skepticism, though the week-long view shows no net movement. At this level, the market sees him as a plausible but not favored contender.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Mike Lindell wins the Republican Primary for Minnesota Governor on August 11, 2026, including any second round or run-off. It resolves No if another candidate wins, or to Other if no such primary takes place.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 25% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -2 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $105K |
| Resolves by | 2026-08-11 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Entry or exit of other major Republican candidates could reshape primary dynamics and shift Lindell's relative position.
- Developments in polling or endorsements closer to August 2026 may move the odds as the primary becomes more concrete.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
