Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
16%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether a Republican will win Michigan's 2026 gubernatorial election, with current odds suggesting the race heavily favors the Democratic incumbent.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 16% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $145K |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.