Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
94%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Brazil's incumbent president will finish in the top two of October 2026's election, triggering a runoff; the current odds suggest he's heavily favored to advance.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 94% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $190K |
| Resolves by | 2026-10-04 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.