Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This question asks whether Jair Bolsonaro's son will be Brazil's second-place finisher in next year's presidential first round, with current odds suggesting strong market confidence in that outcome.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 82% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +5 pt |
| 7d change | +4 pt |
| Market volume | $151K |
| Resolves by | 2026-10-04 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.