Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
70%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest market participants view Renan Santos as a strong favorite to place third in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 70% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +7 pt |
| 7d change | +13 pt |
| Market volume | $129K |
| Resolves by | 2026-10-04 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.