Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
29%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether the far-right National Rally leader will win France's next scheduled presidential election, currently expected in April 2027.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 29% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +21 pt |
| 7d change | +21 pt |
| Market volume | $1.2M |
| Resolves by | 2027-04-30 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.